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I'm familiar with the IEEE article, though I think their reasoning that "log E fits in lots of places so it probably fits here too..." is a little wacky. Here is some fancy math they missed: the number of connections between nodes on a network is roughly (n^2-n)/2 (See *proof below) , not n^2. A network would seem to have a maximum ideal value for how it *potentially* connects all nodes to one another in aggregate, not how it is *actually* used to connect- were this not the case then the advent of Myspace and 4chan would have quickly devalued the Internet to be worth, well a negative amount, meaning that Al Gore would have pay you to take his invention away and dump it in a third world nation along with all the other technology waste you all just cant stomach having anywhere near your pristine, green-conscious habitats, but that is another speech...
So, I would assert that Bob was off slightly more than half in his growth curve. Almost excusable, except that he completely missed the *cost* scale-up of networks. Economies of scale do not exist in data networks for a simple reason- their complexity scales up at the same rate that their notional value does, making cost to equal or exceed the value gains. Complexity means more processing, more routing information to store, and less predictability in capacity translating into less efficient use of resources. The net cost of hardware used to implement large networks scales up in price per user/node/megabit as you grow the network, not down, because of internal complexities in hardware that can handle the scale, making net cost per node *increase* as you add more nodes to the network.. This flies in the face of conventional wisdom and everything they teach in MBA school, but is a proven, if unsung fact. The trends of server consolidation and virtualization are silent beneficiaries of reducing the size of the network, and tacit acknowledgment that complexity is a high premium and a key cost factor to be controlled. Believe what you like, but the hard reality is that when any system hits a certain size, complexity will eat up any possible economy of scale. This is what Bobby missed in his little law.
-FJG
*Proof- Each node n has n-1 interfaces to all other nodes in a fully meshed network, thus the total interfaces in the network are n * (n-1), or n^2-n. Each link in the network comprises two interfaces- one on each of the two nodes connected by the link, so links = interfaces/2.
Maybe in the PoliSci department it does... After all, what does an order of magnititude mean when your *intentions* are correct? When talking valuation tho, I'm pretty comfortable saying anything !~ anything/2. Just ask the IRS.
And aren't you supposed to have a hyphen, paisan?
(To describe most tech: non-Apple, that is.)
Namaste! I honour the place in which your words and my awe become one.
The point is to make energy completely clean,renewable, abundant/limitless, free and completely user generated. The point is not to have an energy industry at all.
when this happens, the economics of scarcity gets turned upside down, a quantum leap is effected, and the world, as we knew it, will never be the same.
We dont need endless permutations and me-too versions of the same "alternatve fuels" or solar panels or whatever. That's what these bubbles usually produce, isn't it? Maybe we need more of something in the nature of a NASA program to acheive our goals.
Well, I thought it was an irony anyway :-)
But I don't think that cloud computing neccessarily implies the utility model (although it's lead to the formation of several cloud based utilities, admitedly) because the cloud is just a location. Product can be served from your cloud as easily as from someone else's - even a large utility. So to my way of thinking, this means that on some fundamental level, cloud computing actually turns the utility model obsolete, or at least makes it just one alternative to many.
> If all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail.
Wacky government rules!
Sorry, but I'd have to take the Prius. Gas costs plenty, you know.
Wow, glad to see that all the old Fucktards with lot's of money and nothing better to do are watching out for me and my family.
Their drives and motives are so, "NOT" self serving, like that of KING FUCKTARD, AL, "I'M CEREAL", GLOBAL WARMING, GORE, and thank the great master for putting them on the planet to pollute with their endless bullshit.
And to think most of the folks out there buy into this shit.
Hey kids, try this someday. Take a trip to your local garbage dump and look at all the garbage being thrown away. I do it weekly. Look and see all the recyclable shit that is tossed. As well as good fruit and vegitables.
If you all are buying the FUCKING SHIT, then perhaps YOU all need these PRICKS telling you how to live. While they have carbon footprints big enough to shove up your ass and you will like it.
Can you all say, HIGHER TAXES, FUCKTARDS.
Wake the hell up America.
Sorry, but I get the feeling out there that the common JOE is FUCKING asleep at the wheel while government and people with nothing better to do run WILLY NILLY telling me that I use to much TP to wipe my ass and that I need to use XYZ lightbulbs and if I hear about the FUCKING POLAR bears...
deep cleasing breath...
And then, there's my grandmother... lived to be 94 years old, and never used glasses at all... drank her single-malt scotch straight from the bottle.
Also, this is pretty out of character. Not in the sense that it conflicts with RSJ, just that the tone sounds more normal, much closer to DL.
Window dressing, genius.
Just as our modern computing environment uses a combination of mainframes and PCs, energy should have both large, centralized generation points, and distributed local generators.
The Real Steve Jobs would understand that it is a sensible architecture.
Better yet, at Oracle we are developing regenerative fucking machines that take the energy of each thrust and return it to a battery pack.
My girlfriends think we are saving the planet when I rail them.
... but man some of these commentards are depressingly unevolved. Though it does show how brightly the brilliance of the fake steve shines, by contrast...
Fake Vlad is gone, Fake Kissinger, and others. Now we're left w/unhumour (see above quote). This blog has hit bottom.
oh...one more thing:
FUCK AYN RAND!!!
Oh, and as far as Ayn Rand goes....I'd hit it.
http://raahi.files.wordpress.com/2007/04/aynran...
This leaves me with more time to develop my killer iPhone app. Now if only I had a video capture API. Oh, and some background processing...
Yep, you're right, but I think whatever these geniuses get up to and what havoc they wreak, I am confident that humanity will survive what ever tribulations, trivialities and mendacities these well meaning miscreants' inflict upon it.
We will survive either a McCain Presidency, a Hillary Presidency or a Obama Presidency (why do I get the feeling no matter which one gets to be elected President, any of them won't finish their term of office?) and any other perceived affliction yet to come. Humanity has a talent for muddling along.
http://lamarguerite.wordpress.com
Never heard from 100percent efficiency?!?
Then there is light left in the offices at night (why???), apparently to make America's downtowns and suburbs prettier on postcards from America. Telecommuting is dead because people are lazy and want to work in PJ's, so we sit in traffic and pollute the air instead.
Finally, there is an issue with combustion engines which do not combust very well and get like 1 mile per gallon. This is like Windows which does not do programs well (anyone?)
Green energy is just another racket, it seems. Al Gore is making movies and I am supposed to buy another car to make sure I end up in Paradise. How is that different than selling indulgences? If I go and nail something to Al Gore's door (couple of thesis on carbon credits), would that work?
Beleaguered Dell breaks customer’s laptop, sends replacement full of pubes:
http://macdailynews.com/index.php/weblog/commen...
You see, there is limitless clean and renewable energy out there just as there were 25mph cars in 1865, but you don't know about them because government stifled them at the behest of the dominant players in that era. Your cheap and efficient power is there, but oil owns congress and congress sucks them off and you will have to wait thirty, fifty, ninety years for the laws to change.
We could, tomorrow, open the plants in Flint, employ everyone, pay them $40/hour and have free energy, but it ain't gonna happen. Red Flag Act, remember.
Red Flag Act: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Locomotive_Act
riiiiiiiiiiiiight., 'cuz the internet, ya see, is this really well thought out, planned for the future and every contingency sort of system, and not just some gigantic friggin' octopus & hydra, and it's not some mess of stuff from the stone age as well as whatever is the latest cool thing that dope smoking xbox addicted geek teenagers who can't get a date affix on to it like some sort of frankenstein, without ever thinking what the consequences down the line will be. oh no, it's a much, much better system than that, and we should base our strategy for stopping climate change and saving the planet on that. right.
cloud computing. frickin' cloud. yeah, right. if the cloud were Cthulu, maybe.
I am sort of disappointed that FSJ thinks (if that's what it is) that trying to apply what one has learned is -- to use the parlance -- such a fucking bad idea. One pair of glasses is better than none.
The problem remains: How to meet world needs for cheap and clean energy. If only we could burn snideness.
The Real Bob Metcalfe
(The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy by Douglas Adams)
We all can see where that leads.
...or was it "zebra crossing"?
-we don't get wildlife here at the compound.